Asian Stocks Rise, US Futures Up Amid Mixed Economic Data

Tokyo, Jul 1 (AP) Asian stocks were mostly higher on Monday after Japan and China reported data reflecting relatively sluggish growth for Asia's two largest economies.

The euro rose after the far-right National Rally gained a strong lead in first-round legislative elections, while the Japanese yen fell, trading at about 161 yen to the dollar. US futures and oil prices rose.

Polling agencies suggest the National Rally might win a majority in the lower house of the parliamentary, but the outcome is uncertain and the voting system is complex.

The euro cost USD 1.0757, up from USD 1.0713.

US futures and oil prices rose.

Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 added 0.3 per cent to 39,693.29 after a quarterly survey by the Bank of Japan, called the “tankan,” showed a modest improvement in confidence among the country's largest manufacturers April-June.

However the government downgraded its estimate for growth in the first quarter of the year, to a minus 2.9 per cent annual rate from the earlier figure of minus 1.8 per cent.

“Across all industries and firm sizes, business conditions held steady at 12, which is on past form consistent with (quarterly) GDP growth of around 0 per cent,” Marcel Thieliant of Capital Economics said in assessing the tankan. “A renewed slowdown in GDP growth this quarter would be consistent with the slump in industrial production firms were predicting for June.”

The Shanghai Composite climbed 0.3 per cent to 2,976.64 after a survey of factory purchasing managers reported over the weekend showed conditions remained in contraction for a second straight month.

But a similar private-sector survey of manufacturing activity released Monday showed an improvement in business conditions. The Caixin Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.8 in June on a scale up to 100, compared with 51.7 in the previous month. Readings above 50 are considered to show an expansion.

Hong Kong markets were closed for a holiday.

Australia's S&P/ASX 200 shed 0.3 per cent to 7,744.20. South Korea's Kospi edged 0.2 per cent higher to 2,802.87 after a private-sector survey showed South Korea's factory activity was the best since April 2022.

On Friday, a flurry of selling late in the day left the S&P 500 0.4 per cent lower at 5,460.48 and in the red for the week. The Nasdaq composite fell 0.7 per cent to 17,732.60, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended 0.1 per cent lower to 39,118.86.

Despite the downbeat finish, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq remain near their all-time highs.

The S&P 500 gained 3.5 per cent in June and is up about 14.5 per cent so far this year.

The Nasdaq gained about 6 per cent for the month and is up 18.1 per cent this year.

A pullback in big technology stocks, which have been big winners in the market's record-breaking runup, weighed on the market on Friday. Apple fell 1.6 per cent, Microsoft lost 1.3 per cent and Meta Platforms ended 3 per cent lower.

A report showed inflation continues easing. Investors are hoping that cooling inflation will prompt the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates, which remain at their highest level in more than 20 years.

Consumer prices rose 2.6 per cent in May compared with a year ago, according to the latest personal consumption expenditures index, or PCE. That signalled continued easing from a 2.7 per cent reading in April and is sharply lower than the peak reading of 7.1 per cent two years ago.

Treasury yields rose in the bond market after initially losing ground following the latest signal of easing inflation. The yield on the 10-year Treasury, which influences interest rates on mortgages and other consumer loans, rose to 4.38 per cent. The yield on the two-year Treasury, which more closely tracks expectations for Fed actions, rose to 4.74 per cent from 4.72 per cent just prior to the data's release.

The Fed raised interest rates to their highest level in more than two decades in an effort to tame inflation back to its 2 per cent target. Other measures of inflation, including the well-known consumer price index, have also confirmed that pressure on prices has been easing.

In energy trading, benchmark US crude rose 39 cents to USD 81.93 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the international standard, added 41 cents to USD 85.41 a barrel. (AP)